MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb67b70239dbcf34f6c9f119bd1efd8d7a1f3c8c11c3ec4669ec3cc0072af484c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 35,398$15,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,575.22 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 24,845$14,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,693.98 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 15,068$7,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,109.9 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 13,644$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 10,300$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292.26 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 7,633$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.48 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 7,022$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.34 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 4,425$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.9 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 3,553$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.49 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 3,540$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.52 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 3,488$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.43 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,876$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.76 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,674$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.37 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,655$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.14 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 2,580$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.6 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99db…97eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 1,680$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.85 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,125$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.8 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,063$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.49 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,031$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 1,020$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.4 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 972.17$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.45 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 913.75$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 899.29$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.43 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 887.54$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.71 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 771.43$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.43 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 716$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.43 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 714.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 699.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 639.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.68 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 540$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.8 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 523.21$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.68 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 470.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 5c | 444.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 371.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.82 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 360$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 326.32$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 6c | 319.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 307.93$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.44 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 307.01$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.84 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 270$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 267.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 247.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 234.72$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 222.74$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 161 | 38.5%62 W · 99 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 213.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 213$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 199.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 185.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 182.49$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 181.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 180$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 175.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…ab75backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 161.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 154.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 152.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 144.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 144.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 127.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…98c3backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 127.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 116.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…f6dfbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 286 | 40.9%117 W · 169 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Miami Marlins | 75c | 110.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…1cb8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 106.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 106.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…4ec0backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 100.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 97.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 88.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 87.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…a5d9backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 86.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 143 | 72.7%104 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 86.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 84.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 73.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1a00backed St. Louis Cardinals | 20c | 71.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 282 | 46.5%131 W · 151 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 66.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8648…7072backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 56.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 372 | 43.8%163 W · 209 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…a6f9backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 56.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.