MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf9f37ee5c19d9f4f504ab3fce97249b09c6e6f54a74737d648349208b0841d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f0c…7ca5backed Under | 54c | 131,225$70,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,531.38 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -7.9wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 51,266$25,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,632.8 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 27,513$12,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,888.99 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 21,131$8,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,507.98 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 50c | 9,912$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 9,017$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 42c | 7,551$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.42 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 4,463$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.87 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 51c | 2,380$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.2 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 42c | 1,990$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.28 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Over | 49c | 1,925$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 50c | 1,734$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.01 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 56c | 1,112$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.02 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,041$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.68 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.22 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 1,018$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.23 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 45c | 950.11$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.07 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a15…bdbdbacked Under | 59c | 645.52$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 449.35$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 49c | 422.8$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.53 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 49c | 416.39$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.36 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 50c | 363.12$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 344$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 55c | 338$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 49c | 287.21$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.48 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…fb64backed Over | 28c | 235.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 57c | 158.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 129$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 45c | 103.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…56b7backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 44c | 93.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 42c | 85.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 66c | 79.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 70.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 48c | 59.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 51c | 51.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 50.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 58c | 43.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 46c | 37.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 40c | 31.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 47c | 30.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Over | 42c | 29.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 49c | 29.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Over | 41c | 28.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 50c | 26.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 42c | 24.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 20.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…c19bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 59c | 17.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco GiantsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.