MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x949f73165cd363dc329ceb5b41fff41e59879681df2eb0ebdb1aa7729b5eed9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 54c | 9,900$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345.99 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 43c | 6,475$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.38 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 57c | 6,162$3,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522.67 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 5,138$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.43 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 3,531$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.76 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 54c | 1,353$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.26 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 43c | 1,342$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.94 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 58c | 1,275$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.71 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 53c | 1,212$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.78 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 1,128$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.02 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Under | 51c | 960.97$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.47 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 53c | 940.19$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.3 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a15…bdbdbacked Under | 53c | 761.47$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 51c | 687.95$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.34 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 611.04$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.53 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 548.34$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 44c | 461.57$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.48 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 461.28$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.48 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 45c | 451.46$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.44 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9517…f0b3backed Over | 59c | 447.46$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 43c | 300$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…bdd5backed Under | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…a2a4backed Under | 42c | 249.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 59c | 242.28$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…0505backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 49c | 200.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 52c | 199.21$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 46c | 175.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 44c | 159.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 7c | 157$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 42c | 146.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 48c | 131.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 45c | 93.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 44c | 88.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 59c | 87.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 85.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 45c | 84.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 69.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 74c | 67.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 44c | 67.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 48c | 65.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 48c | 51.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 46.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…87a6backed Under | 42c | 36.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Under | 42c | 35.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 60c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 48c | 31.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Over | 55c | 27.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 320 | 54.1%173 W · 147 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco GiantsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.