MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc352616bacf1c52f85832429a6c41e6ff5e54364ed93f51ada07f04d05afda65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 2,334$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 860.62$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.4 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 814.36$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.94 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 7c | 739.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 556.17$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.59 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 396.59$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 356.93$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.48 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 326$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 6c | 321.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 240.89$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 220$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 206.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 186.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 79c | 161.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Doosan Bears | 76c | 152.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 140.13$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 140$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 133.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 19c | 124.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 61c | 101.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 100.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 13c | 92.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 88.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 65.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…7c8bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 61.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 61.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 278 | 52.2%145 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 50.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…5cbabacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 39.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Doosan Bears | 69c | 38.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 30.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 21.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 20.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 19.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.