MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9896909fb393c7d68a16306f3b833600a174a06a256b56a00885774849486b9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 45,443$22,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,734.57 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 30,000$11,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,555.57 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 16,431$8,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,209.01 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 15,183$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,405.96 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 13,803$9,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.14 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 12,146$4,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,613.07 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 10,462$4,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,517.72 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 10,305$5,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.59 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 9,919$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.26 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 9,915$5,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.46 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 9,870$6,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.45 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 8,888$4,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,435.11 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 8,508$5,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.08 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 7,465$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.29 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 6,317$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.09 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 6,313$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.94 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 6,108$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.09 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 6,000$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.99 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 5,955$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.51 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 5,366$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.79 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 5,000$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 4,996$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.1 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 4,879$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.35 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 4,251$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.66 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…c2c1backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 3,982$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 3,966$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.05 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 3,319$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.79 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 3,304$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.82 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 3,000$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.99 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,940$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.04 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 2,814$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.07 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 2,740$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.73 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 2,602$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.68 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 2,090$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.21 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,009$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.72 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 2,000$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.98 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,873$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.97 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,796$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.14 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,550$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.64 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,500$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.49 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,461$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.24 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 1,260$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 1,209$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 1,142$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 69c | 1,132$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.36 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,106$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.39 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,049$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.38 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 1,045$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,011$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.32 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,005$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.93 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 175 | 17.1%30 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 999.99$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 966.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 900.79$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.19 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 900$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.75 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 880$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.22 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 868.67$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.09 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 859.6$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.58 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 841.5$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.37 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 826.79$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.44 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 807.05$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.77 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 806.91$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.29 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 797.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.02 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 787.67$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.38 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 629.88$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.88 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 614.43$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.2 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 601.5$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.93 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 601.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 600$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 267 | 18.4%49 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…cce4backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 581.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 574.58$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.1 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 559.07$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.31 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 546.88$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.16 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 509.86$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.77 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 500$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 497.2$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.12 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 480.09$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 465.51$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.51 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 458.12$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.03 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 419.03$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.54 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 405.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.26 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…e81abacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 403.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.2 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 389.96$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.59 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…dd2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 372.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 372.04$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 370.93$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 340.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 326.86$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 581 | 60.4%351 W · 230 L | +30.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 291.24$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 262.35$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…3eefbacked Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 256.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Chicago Cubs | 79c | 252.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…8676backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 249.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 248.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 247.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 235.15$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.