MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48aa18e57680bd02717423e93719b288ee8f58876417a987b999adc2c0245898
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 54c | 109,279$59,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,268.14 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 46c | 66,666$30,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,666.36 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 46c | 27,399$12,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,603.54 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 31c | 18,732$5,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,736.48 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 74c | 15,529$11,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.8 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 46c | 7,500$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,483.92 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 3,354$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.83 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 2,914$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.87 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 53c | 2,006$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.59 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 52c | 1,913$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.4 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 54c | 1,288$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.55 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 1,147$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.53 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 48c | 1,105$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.4 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 1,103$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.6 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Over | 46c | 1,072$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.02 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 53c | 1,012$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 47c | 964$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.08 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Under | 56c | 893.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.14 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 46c | 666.34$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.52 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 594.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.64 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 47c | 589.04$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.85 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 435.01$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 394.28$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.57 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Under | 72c | 276.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 28c | 237$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…bffcbacked Over | 46c | 207.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 47c | 205.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 45c | 195$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 56c | 178.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 176.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 158.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 45c | 157$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 156.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb9…40d7backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 32c | 116.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…4024backed Over | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 27c | 98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 45c | 78.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 45c | 76.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 28c | 75.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 20c | 74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Over | 23c | 66.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Over | 34c | 65.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 428 | 49.1%210 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 63.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Over | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 33c | 58.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 46c | 57.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 46c | 55.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7d…0fa8backed Over | 31c | 52.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Over | 50c | 50.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -31.9wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -82%equal weight | 22-0.25 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 34c | 48.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 54c | 46.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Over | 46c | 46.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 27c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 476 | 46.8%223 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 32c | 37.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 35c | 32.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…826ebacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 76c | 32.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 46c | 30.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 74c | 24.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…837abacked Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 68c | 18.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42fe…b1d0backed Under | 74c | 15.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore OriolesChicago Cubs won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.