MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74d5a0833cb84d15f13ad25285af845f0fb2a486a3f64d305fade142f0041d3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7caa…e1c4backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 1,442$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 807$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.1 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 490$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 448$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.19 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 242.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 222.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…0cbfbacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 214.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…829ebacked Lotte Giants | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 185.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Kia Tigers | 63c | 145.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…d5f8backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 142.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +11.4wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…c001backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 91.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 89.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…edffbacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2267…3355backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 80.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 26c | 54.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lotte Giants | 24c | 53.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lotte Giants | 24c | 51.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 50.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 49.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 46.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 36.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 33.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…36d3backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…3f98backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…b3dcbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 21.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 20.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…0a40backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Kia Tigers | 75c | 13.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.