TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stefanos Tsitsipasof Hugo Gaston, Stefanos Tsitsipas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,745 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Hugo Gaston8c24,282$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.228,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Hugo Gaston34c4,858$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.7493055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd578…aca3backed Stefanos Tsitsipas73c4,123$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.983847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hugo Gaston17c3,783$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.4111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Hugo Gaston27c2,995$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.564,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas65c2,837$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.974,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hugo Gaston5c2,711$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.88,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Hugo Gaston34c2,089$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.11,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Hugo Gaston35c1,724$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.243,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Hugo Gaston6c1,678$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b05…c092backed Stefanos Tsitsipas65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.462147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Stefanos Tsitsipas78c1,235$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.144,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Hugo Gaston35c830.45$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.982,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Hugo Gaston9c699.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628334.9%29 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Hugo Gaston3c656.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0926355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Hugo Gaston36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Hugo Gaston11c472.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.821,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Hugo Gaston5c420$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2368430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Hugo Gaston23c419.16$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9525051.2%128 W · 122 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Hugo Gaston36c418.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502576%19 W · 6 L+6.6wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+55.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas65c399.99$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Hugo Gaston3c351.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.349520%19 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Hugo Gaston33c350$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.589850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd61…9193backed Stefanos Tsitsipas66c309.77$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…7909backed Stefanos Tsitsipas68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.12560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd3…30c5backed Stefanos Tsitsipas65c278.06$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Stefanos Tsitsipas66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Hugo Gaston33c239.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.391,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas65c215.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3843353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Hugo Gaston34c204.03$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3741644.5%185 W · 231 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Stefanos Tsitsipas67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6635457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Hugo Gaston32c198.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.472,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5b…2a5abacked Hugo Gaston25c194$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2916955.6%94 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b39…8b50backed Hugo Gaston35c192$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.28933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Stefanos Tsitsipas66c165.83$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3858734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Hugo Gaston33c158.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5352155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Stefanos Tsitsipas64c154.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5656651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Stefanos Tsitsipas66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.528234.1%28 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed Stefanos Tsitsipas65c150.46$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.661931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Hugo Gaston34c147.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2118244%80 W · 102 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Hugo Gaston35c147.85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7592237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Stefanos Tsitsipas75c143.76$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.055,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Hugo Gaston35c113.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.651,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Hugo Gaston35c111.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.891,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed Hugo Gaston14c104.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.349450%47 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Stefanos Tsitsipas67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.51,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Hugo Gaston35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3548637.7%183 W · 303 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3219452.1%101 W · 93 L-13.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…70b1backed Stefanos Tsitsipas65c93.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.134763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9267852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4846…32e0backed Stefanos Tsitsipas65c74.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.248251.2%42 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas67c74.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3338664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Hugo Gaston33c70.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4296755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Hugo Gaston34c70.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6863537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Stefanos Tsitsipas65c67.28$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5599249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Stefanos Tsitsipas67c66.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2728237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas67c64.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4467848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas67c62.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7485348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Stefanos Tsitsipas66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6134637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Stefanos Tsitsipas65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.383447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1930…691cbacked Hugo Gaston34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014243%61 W · 81 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b1…d05dbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas65c56.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Hugo Gaston33c51.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710252.9%54 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.557449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a4…3c66backed Stefanos Tsitsipas68c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169569.5%66 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Hugo Gaston30c44.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2939035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x2b1f…7b4bbacked Hugo Gaston33c42.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.914757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x568f…d803backed Stefanos Tsitsipas65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Stefanos Tsitsipas66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8830860.1%185 W · 123 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas77c36.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6699244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Stefanos Tsitsipas67c33.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1248245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf9…8292backed Stefanos Tsitsipas66c32.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0758857.7%339 W · 249 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Stefanos Tsitsipas67c31.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3519656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Hugo Gaston33c31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2360055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Stefanos Tsitsipas66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.317746.9%83 W · 94 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Stefanos Tsitsipas67c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4330554.4%166 W · 139 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Stefanos Tsitsipas66c27.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5730055%165 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7812658.7%74 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Stefanos Tsitsipas75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3860452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas74c21.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.552,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas67c20.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9587060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc73a…105cbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.23548.6%17 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Stefanos Tsitsipas67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.71,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Stefanos Tsitsipas67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.682159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Stefanos Tsitsipas66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7519064.7%123 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed Stefanos Tsitsipas66c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x370c…3eb1backed Stefanos Tsitsipas70c19.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.989660.4%58 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Stefanos Tsitsipas67c15.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523742.6%101 W · 136 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Stefanos Tsitsipas68c14.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7420570.7%145 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5c…d123backed Stefanos Tsitsipas80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.58974.2%66 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.