MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e3a13b9ae1635a8758854a37ca42df42610e89a6f48f6d8c434bcf1a6b57a8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Pittsburgh Pirates, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $809,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $819,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $809,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 232,596$118,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,972.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 133,769$65,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,546.95 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 68,819$42,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,972.09 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 51,000$24,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,479.95 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 50,629$24,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,803.39 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…9281backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 1c | 50,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 50,000$17,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,199.88 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 23,569$12,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,553.86 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 23,013$15,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,846.7 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 21,562$11,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,502.36 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…4a07backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 19,521$9,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,551.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 17,343$8,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,497.94 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 13,574$6,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,651.44 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 12,500$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 12,276$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,729.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…f729backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 10,552$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 10,455$5,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,143.32 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 10,089$6,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,603.91 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 9,842$4,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.08 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 8,136$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 7,551$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.99 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 7,323$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,913.91 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 6,784$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 5,961$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 5,924$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.41 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 5,657$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.91 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 4,983$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.59 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 4,530$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.01 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 4,202$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.59 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 4,057$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.88 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…6209backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 3,904$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…fea3backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 3,872$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 3,636$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…dda8backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 3,518$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 3,075$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.34 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 2,676$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.48 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 2,638$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.92 | 198 | 54%107 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…8759backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,589$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,585$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.73 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 2,440$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.2 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 2,401$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.88 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 2,363$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.75 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,062$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.57 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 1,720$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.51 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…5febbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,703$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 1,652$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.51 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…3035backed Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 1,610$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,560$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.79 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,500$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.24 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,474$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.07 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…454bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,459$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,316$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.48 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…9683backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,280$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,274$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.5 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,220$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.81 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,172$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,104$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.22 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,055$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.28 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,054$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.65 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 1,003$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.64 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…58bbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 972.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 856.89$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.96 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 848$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.67 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 845$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.6 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 824$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.76 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 795.48$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.83 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 780$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 764.11$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.77 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 750$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 731.98$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.48 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 707.23$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.47 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 656.36$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.68 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 638.78$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 605$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.45 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 578.3$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 571.05$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…4261backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 562.65$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.51 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 549.36$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.68 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 536.57$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.36 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 502.26$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.13 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 218 | 22.9%50 W · 168 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 488.93$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.2 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 487.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 480.55$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.39 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 475.63$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 426.91$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.72 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 400$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb40…8a21backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 396$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.