MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcf4c155850b114f400a41e432d11f0b2c58a6b2f58b34505b9498508b5cff02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 30,251$14,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,138.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 12,211$6,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,766.16 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 5,699$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.62 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 4,408$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.27 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 4,376$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 54c | 4,177$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.35 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 3,907$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…5c65backed Under | 47c | 3,039$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.68 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 1,985$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 51c | 1,558$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.29 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 56c | 1,407$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.16 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 46c | 1,342$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.88 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 1,207$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.59 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Under | 47c | 1,123$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 53c | 951.6$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.25 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 47c | 799.89$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.95 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 737$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.39 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 702.32$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.91 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 693$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.23 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 39c | 667.72$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 54c | 640.93$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.83 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 47c | 638.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Over | 5c | 600$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 5cpaid | +411.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6d…33e2backed Over | 5c | 599.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 5cpaid | +259.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 44c | 588.96$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.15 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…4a90backed Over | 39c | 560.63$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 54c | 536.53$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.8 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 50c | 536$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…c838backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 49c | 440.82$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.82 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 54c | 437.6$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.66 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Over | 33c | 400$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Over | 61c | 364.64$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 47c | 335.01$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 41c | 322.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a71…a47ebacked Over | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 66c | 246.05$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 47c | 239.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Over | 5c | 220.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.37 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 58c | 220.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 35c | 199.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 54c | 199$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 6c | 183.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 49c | 166$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 49c | 146.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 54c | 121$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 117.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 108.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 99.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 45c | 96.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…dcfabacked Under | 17c | 96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +251.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Over | 18c | 93.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 53c | 80.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 53c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Over | 49c | 70.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…a781backed Over | 49c | 70.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Under | 46c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 62.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 61c | 54.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 39c | 52.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 267 | 62.2%166 W · 101 L | +43.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Under | 43c | 51.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Under | 62c | 49.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…8b23backed Over | 21c | 49.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Over | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…c028backed Under | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Under | 47c | 42.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 54c | 41.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 49c | 37.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…146abacked Over | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 53c | 35.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 58c | 29.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Over | 54c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 46c | 25.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 22.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…a5f9backed Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 65c | 18.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ead…f0fbbacked Under | 63c | 16.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.