Mls · resolved market
FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x405f10641d4ea52be5215222cc4b4cb65547955bc0006976d1dee9135085b4ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 63c | 15,269$9,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,619.13 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 2,279$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.75 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 35c | 1,706$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.68 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 36c | 1,503$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.81 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 884.33$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.74 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 37c | 592$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 477.56$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 54c | 347.52$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 37c | 341$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.83 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 339.69$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.63 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 64c | 295.79$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.67 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 37c | 294.89$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.78 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 37c | 260$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 37c | 260$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Over | 37c | 183$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 31c | 164.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 37c | 160$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 37c | 156$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 37c | 156$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 40c | 119.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 37c | 107.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 36c | 96.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 61c | 95.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 53c | 94.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 85.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 36c | 84.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 39c | 76.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 40c | 69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 52c | 61.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 60.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 37c | 54.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 34c | 54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 38c | 53.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 35c | 50.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 37c | 49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Over | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…d948backed Over | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 42.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 46c | 42.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 35c | 32.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 61c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +83%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 65c | 22.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)FC Dallas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.