TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,764 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Over43c45,737$19,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,865.1115647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c22,914$12,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,885.53,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c3,500$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.0626345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c2,023$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.121,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under55c1,951$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.91,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under56c1,667$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.7415748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under57c1,600$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91217258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under57c1,451$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.0510655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6608547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68412263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under56c772.08$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.845664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39912661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34215858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over50c595.6$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under57c539.5$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.527037.1%26 W · 44 L-11.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under58c530.06$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.681,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under47c526$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.3219347.2%91 W · 102 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28514359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under57c331.3$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.845056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17115060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17113158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under55c290$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under57c288.48$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4316960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under39c278.75$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0478344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under57c265.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under57c260$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.211759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under57c260$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.212162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under45c215$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.752532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under57c194.25$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7210755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under38c181.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5847240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c174$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.791553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.214459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under57c156$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9214660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under57c156$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9214459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under59c153.23$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.761,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under56c152.79$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under57c146$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.225851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over76c128.26$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under56c123.84$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under27c109.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+90.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over46c108.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.48853.4%47 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over50c103$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.51376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5716955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5713461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over57c93.68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under48c88.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3736051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over43c87.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.152462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under38c87.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.291,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under56c85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.66065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under48c83.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.615259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.613560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over56c79.52$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.648971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under57c79.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.049654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under57c66.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7315458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under57c64.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.917953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.18465.5%55 W · 29 L+16.4wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under48c64.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under57c64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.286155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under60c57.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.518129.6%24 W · 57 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Under57c52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.642445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over39c51.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4110950.5%55 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under60c50.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over40c50.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.043171%22 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Under57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Over48c49.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.982572%18 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.654163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa67…d948backed Under57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.651040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c7a…f619backed Under57c42.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.510960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.420849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.88469%58 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under49c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2824046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under57c38.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over57c38.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4431158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under39c37.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4652639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under41c35.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4980249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under56c34.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4910042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Under57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.113557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under53c25.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.684753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c91…af73backed Under57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.252161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under57c23.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.626958%40 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4d…dd64backed Over46c22.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+60.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3711…7339backed Under55c19.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5350%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Under57c18.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75464.8%35 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under61c16.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3768150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.