Mls · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15d4a783750ef22d0b757d8e32cf82cd699ded4e2ab0cecfcae9a7f8591228d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Jose Earthquakesof Seattle Sounders FC, San Jose Earthquakes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Seattle Sounders FC | 46c | 68,734$31,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,463.94 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Seattle Sounders FC | 49c | 10,210$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.83 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed San Jose Earthquakes | 53c | 8,901$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,147.54 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked San Jose Earthquakes | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.17 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Jose Earthquakes | 68c | 6,987$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.98 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 6,297$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.4 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Jose Earthquakes | 56c | 4,416$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.14 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Jose Earthquakes | 60c | 4,000$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.2 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 51c | 3,875$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.96 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 3,547$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed San Jose Earthquakes | 62c | 3,200$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed San Jose Earthquakes | 70c | 2,416$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.91 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed San Jose Earthquakes | 61c | 2,242$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.23 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed San Jose Earthquakes | 51c | 1,572$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 64c | 1,499$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.71 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 51c | 1,350$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.5 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 62c | 1,338$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.84 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked San Jose Earthquakes | 53c | 1,272$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed San Jose Earthquakes | 53c | 1,244$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.6 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 1,177$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 1,075$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.73 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Sounders FC | 41c | 1,026$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.97 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 1,024$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.48 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 991.26$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.96 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 973.19$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.94 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed San Jose Earthquakes | 53c | 971$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked San Jose Earthquakes | 59c | 967.52$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.68 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed San Jose Earthquakes | 71c | 932$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab2…41babacked San Jose Earthquakes | 70c | 932$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 912.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.39 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 824.57$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.41 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 711.68$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.19 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed San Jose Earthquakes | 57c | 659.95$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Seattle Sounders FC | 41c | 652$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.32 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 53c | 647$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed San Jose Earthquakes | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed San Jose Earthquakes | 69c | 592$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed San Jose Earthquakes | 65c | 589.22$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.76 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716e…bcc2backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 563$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed San Jose Earthquakes | 62c | 520$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed San Jose Earthquakes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed San Jose Earthquakes | 61c | 480$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Jose Earthquakes | 57c | 474.02$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 413.73$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed San Jose Earthquakes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 270$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 69c | 260$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 58c | 235$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed San Jose Earthquakes | 58c | 234.51$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed San Jose Earthquakes | 53c | 226$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 63c | 210$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed San Jose Earthquakes | 61c | 199.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked San Jose Earthquakes | 71c | 193.28$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed San Jose Earthquakes | 64c | 182.56$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed San Jose Earthquakes | 56c | 157.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 63c | 156$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 58c | 142.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Seattle Sounders FC | 32c | 122.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed San Jose Earthquakes | 62c | 122.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed San Jose Earthquakes | 54c | 121.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Jose Earthquakes | 67c | 119.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed San Jose Earthquakes | 57c | 112$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed San Jose Earthquakes | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Seattle Sounders FC | 31c | 109.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Jose Earthquakes | 54c | 96.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Seattle Sounders FC | 45c | 90.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 64c | 86.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed San Jose Earthquakes | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 73.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 58c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked San Jose Earthquakes | 51c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 63.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed San Jose Earthquakes | 70c | 63.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Seattle Sounders FC | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed San Jose Earthquakes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed San Jose Earthquakes | 64c | 56.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -11.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked San Jose Earthquakes | 54c | 55.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Jose Earthquakes | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked San Jose Earthquakes | 57c | 54.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed San Jose Earthquakes | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked San Jose Earthquakes | 54c | 53.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Seattle Sounders FC | 31c | 50.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Seattle Sounders FC | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Seattle Sounders FC | 38c | 49.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed San Jose Earthquakes | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed San Jose Earthquakes | 56c | 45.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed San Jose Earthquakes | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)this page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.