TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

New England Revolution vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,355 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c17,054$8,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,443.3227837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under51c4,709$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.4813553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under49c4,295$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.534551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over51c2,835$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.31942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under48c2,486$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-78%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under50c1,847$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under49c1,787$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.684055%22 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over50c1,700$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85019044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under48c1,321$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over50c1,262$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.6798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x684c…93dfbacked Over49c1,166$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+76.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Under51c1,137$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,064$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.811,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c736$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.8442947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under51c522.67$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under52c423.08$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c413.08$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5470249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under51c346$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.461,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under64c318.52$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8247240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over65c299.34$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.964126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c279.07$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.183,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Under52c263.46$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under24c259$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.161,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c254$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.582044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under16c238.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2422042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c229$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.231,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0810853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.771872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11410043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under69c175.03$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6971443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over29c171.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2711244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under50c170.96$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4817258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c168.68$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7168150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under50c156$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7814660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under50c156$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7814459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over49c142.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.861361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c115.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under53c109.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1636051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under53c109$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9320849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under70c102.27$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5952639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0410950.5%55 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c101.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over52c96.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.095050%25 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over53c93.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.128853.4%47 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over32c92.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7813518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under25c66.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6546156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3d…3681backed Over75c66.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65977.8%7 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick79cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over60c62.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0431158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.224639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under51c58.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.085240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Over52c57.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.731631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over50c56.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.488868.2%60 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under39c56.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1423953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.024639.1%18 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.954163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa67…d948backed Under51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.951040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ba…b7bdbacked Under48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over73c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0720660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208469%58 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Under52c39.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.391450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over52c37.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3110957.8%63 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under68c31.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0878344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.216853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under40c26.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7525851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2444…4252backed Under48c25.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c91…af73backed Under51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.752161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.953046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Under52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.287953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.195641.1%23 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under48c23.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.168257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.732050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e69…2650backed Under57c19.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick68cpaid-48.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.