South American Leagues · resolved market
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7a09d01ea5b85f2deff2351427ab2a573b339ba965b72afe63b9e3767e554f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4064…f741backed Under | 42c | 28,964$12,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,818.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 58c | 3,865$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.71 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 44c | 3,358$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.91 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 58c | 3,200$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 2,859$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Over | 58c | 2,714$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 1,697$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 60c | 1,586$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.16 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 58c | 1,400$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 58c | 1,184$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.72 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 1,052$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.98 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Over | 58c | 966.59$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.62 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 58c | 927.89$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.77 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 28c | 914.35$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 54c | 531.5$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.01 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 58c | 525.02$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.51 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 58c | 412.53$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.27 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 383.35$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 58c | 353$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.89 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 58c | 320$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 58c | 312$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 58c | 312$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 55c | 263.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 46c | 262.18$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.58 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 19c | 260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 57c | 240$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 45c | 222.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 58c | 215$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 58c | 215$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 58c | 123.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 59c | 102.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Over | 58c | 99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 58c | 98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Over | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…d948backed Over | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 87.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 58c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 58c | 44.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 36.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 58c | 34.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 58c | 29.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…b5e3backed Over | 58c | 29.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 60c | 20.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…641abacked Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 78c | 17.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…c024backed Over | 58c | 17.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5this page
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 0.5Under won
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5Under won
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AA Argentinos Juniors (-1.5)CA Huracán won
- Spread: AA Argentinos Juniors (-2.5)CA Huracán won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.