South American Leagues · resolved market
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fa7544deb4d600bd30a9df653db536f2c3ff8124845be0c987c609ae4c0880e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 1c | 18,926$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Over | 1c | 10,741$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Over | 1c | 4,722$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,983$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.73 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 79c | 632.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 565.41$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.49 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 80c | 507.79$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 31c | 474.19$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 446.23$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…a1bfbacked Over | 28c | 108.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 23c | 79.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 69c | 75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 26c | 68.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…9c87backed Over | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 74c | 42.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 0.5this page
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5Under won
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5Under won
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AA Argentinos Juniors (-1.5)CA Huracán won
- Spread: AA Argentinos Juniors (-2.5)CA Huracán won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.