Will Ghana win on 2026-03-30?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed2aa042f3a093ae9b85f8c1ad7cbf2f908fe1294eb65df0ffaa8b5ad5eff195

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $250,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $271,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,463 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee67…ef38backed Yes	7c	20,001$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,360.06	93	23.7%22 W · 71 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes	5c	16,363$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.86	79	24.1%19 W · 60 L	-6.7wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	6c	13,740$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$772.58	173	38.2%66 W · 107 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes	4c	9,634$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.34	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes	8c	6,672$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.33	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes	1c	5,564$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.8	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7372…ba52backed Yes	1c	5,503$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cf…6bb8backed Yes	5c	4,493$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.51	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes	10c	4,424$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.16	259	54.8%142 W · 117 L	+17.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Yes	6c	4,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes	5c	2,200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yes	1c	2,051$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-88.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	63	11.1%7 W · 56 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	5c	1,766$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.29	359	42.9%154 W · 205 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9186…fad1backed Yes	6c	1,693$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes	8c	1,412$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.16	91	7.7%7 W · 84 L	-9.8wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes	8c	1,252$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dd…3c69backed Yes	3c	1,236$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes	5c	1,207$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.34	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8f7…7eadbacked Yes	1c	1,196$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6410…ee60backed Yes	5c	1,140$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e92…1910backed Yes	3c	1,138$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.41	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a31…f1c6backed Yes	8c	1,087$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.01	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes	4c	984.13$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	39	7.7%3 W · 36 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd09…05b2backed Yes	4c	931.77$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.27	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Yes	6c	889.97$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.4	100	13%13 W · 87 L	-9.1wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes	6c	861.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	3c	735.68$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.96	65	21.5%14 W · 51 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Yes	7c	722.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes	3c	697$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes	8c	667.1$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.41	237	51.1%121 W · 116 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes	8c	663.94$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.79	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…387fbacked Yes	8c	661$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes	8c	605.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes	4c	548$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.32	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e88…df66backed Yes	4c	526.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	110	29.1%32 W · 78 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes	3c	517.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes	6c	491.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	117	24.8%29 W · 88 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Yes	8c	486.25$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.64	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes	5c	482.18$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	864	55.3%478 W · 386 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc667…e68dbacked Yes	5c	436.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.33	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ba…6f8abacked Yes	5c	408.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes	7c	404.23$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.3	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	387.21$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.99	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa124…ff5dbacked Yes	4c	375$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes	5c	326.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.33	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes	5c	321.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	245	37.1%91 W · 154 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes	6c	310.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Yes	7c	285.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes	4c	285.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	42	31%13 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	6c	281.65$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	293	43%126 W · 167 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Yes	5c	278.84$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	164	53%87 W · 77 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes	4c	251.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	80	40%32 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5daa…df63backed Yes	6c	250.54$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d59…abebbacked Yes	4c	250.22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b50…11bdbacked Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0c…9ae8backed Yes	6c	183.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Yes	8c	164.75$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	396	21%83 W · 313 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	150	46.7%70 W · 80 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Ghana win on 2026-03-30?this page
Will Germany vs. Ghana end in a draw?No won
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ghana win on 2026-03-30?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event