Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-03-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2919fcaa65db3a01f18362f35a0f4324acaf0e1d5e996cdc812c04bbf45aab85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 7,091$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.61 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 21c | 1,920$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 1,576$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.79 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 1,293$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.94 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 1,236$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.55 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 1,043$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.26 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 964.64$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.67 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 79c | 902.73$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 858.82$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.53 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 46c | 809$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.82 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 542.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 78c | 534.7$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Yes | 5c | 519.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 25c | 474$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 53c | 467.7$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.03 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 76c | 459.6$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 441.42$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.74 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 19c | 435.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 30c | 370.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 39c | 244.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed Yes | 6c | 242.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 47c | 231.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 5c | 228.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +441.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 42c | 214.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…ca6dbacked Yes | 22c | 205$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 42c | 202$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…b420backed Yes | 49c | 197.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 79c | 191.08$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 78c | 187.39$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Yes | 36c | 169.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 116.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…4d4abacked Yes | 10c | 106.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d608backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 78c | 99.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 24c | 98.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 72c | 97.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 49c | 92.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 78c | 90.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Yes | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed No | 78c | 83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 74c | 80.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…3db9backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 79c | 57.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 45.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…93c2backed Yes | 44c | 45.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…7847backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed No | 56c | 40.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 56c | 35.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 78c | 33.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 38c | 32.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked No | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 49c | 24.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 48c | 21.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 79c | 19.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Yes | 56c | 18.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-03-20?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-03-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.