CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs megoshort - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4608787662ecb203a4ba7e7b0198d5a0097df6e551ae3827a2fa7204e29d1b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof MINLATE, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,240 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked megoshort | 56c | 900.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.44 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked megoshort | 70c | 788.15$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.36 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MINLATE | 23c | 574.8$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed MINLATE | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MINLATE | 26c | 342.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MINLATE | 48c | 239$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked megoshort | 79c | 213$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed MINLATE | 73c | 212.33$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked megoshort | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MINLATE | 33c | 167.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…3dfbbacked MINLATE | 21c | 142.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed megoshort | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed MINLATE | 17c | 119.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…b40dbacked MINLATE | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed MINLATE | 29c | 86.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed megoshort | 50c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked MINLATE | 20c | 67.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked megoshort | 76c | 65.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked megoshort | 70c | 63.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…4d4abacked MINLATE | 29c | 53.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed MINLATE | 27c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…a659backed MINLATE | 41c | 42.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed MINLATE | 56c | 40.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed megoshort | 63c | 33.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed MINLATE | 63c | 31.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed megoshort | 34c | 29.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…3b39backed MINLATE | 54c | 27.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed megoshort | 72c | 26.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed megoshort | 77c | 23.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked megoshort | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed MINLATE | 56c | 18.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed MINLATE | 63c | 17.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked megoshort | 74c | 14.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageMINLATE won
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs megoshort - Map 1 WinnerMINLATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.