TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MINLATEof MINLATE, megoshort
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,240 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x081e…f76ebacked MINLATE55c3,570$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.2581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MINLATE57c3,144$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.345,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked megoshort35c3,007$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.863,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort32c2,289$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.066,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked megoshort45c1,641$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.916243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked MINLATE55c1,450$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.5732536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MINLATE58c1,213$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.464,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked megoshort43c1,072$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.8284454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed megoshort35c904.56$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.884,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed megoshort45c798.94$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3634332.6%14 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MINLATE56c785.33$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.451,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed megoshort42c773.81$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32541847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d1f…a252backed megoshort34c730.39$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015033.3%50 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x175e…8525backed megoshort45c716$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked MINLATE78c658.08$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.178963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a78…0948backed megoshort45c653$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort32c630.4$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.297,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed MINLATE73c550.19$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.464753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked megoshort36c546.06$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5429154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed megoshort40c508.1$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6233237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked megoshort34c484.7$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.693,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed megoshort43c481.97$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2058644.2%38 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked megoshort45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802035%7 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbba3…c6e0backed MINLATE55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed megoshort32c377.56$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5632443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa611…3a6ebacked MINLATE55c330$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MINLATE54c329.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.85,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…ae0ebacked MINLATE79c327.45$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f92…458cbacked MINLATE55c323$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c6…6daabacked megoshort4c320$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54210%0 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x350a…6b14backed MINLATE55c316$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked megoshort44c306.56$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4146447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed megoshort44c280$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.220743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked MINLATE57c261.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.152147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed MINLATE58c260.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8322253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de6…7b51backed megoshort45c258.33$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.251442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked megoshort44c244.01$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.622542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb3…6bfebacked megoshort43c238.09$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.717540%30 W · 45 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1110…4f1dbacked MINLATE72c237.56$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.591181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed megoshort44c217$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4815141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked megoshort34c213.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.152,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked megoshort44c211.54$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0810945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7776…043fbacked MINLATE48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked megoshort46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9225337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked MINLATE54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked MINLATE45c199.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11015648.1%75 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed MINLATE53c199.98$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9910442.3%44 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed MINLATE69c173.55$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5515259.9%91 W · 61 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed MINLATE71c158.75$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4219451.5%100 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1405…d36fbacked MINLATE65c153.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.481353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed MINLATE66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.529257.6%53 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed MINLATE60c150.35$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.352070%14 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed MINLATE56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6654032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed megoshort43c149.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.321,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf47d…2834backed megoshort28c144.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8814545.5%66 W · 79 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed MINLATE73c144.01$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.541464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed megoshort30c137.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9325634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc14d…f137backed megoshort43c132.92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.738146.9%38 W · 43 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc255…68f8backed MINLATE77c130.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.332867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed megoshort42c130$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.617837.6%67 W · 111 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked megoshort43c114.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed megoshort32c114.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.811,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked MINLATE64c109.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3860953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed megoshort43c109.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4724544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed MINLATE55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0914853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked megoshort47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed megoshort41c105.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.447053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1a…a659backed MINLATE57c100.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3112162.8%76 W · 45 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked megoshort42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4224633.3%82 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8e…ca2ebacked MINLATE63c99.05$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.052272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc0…ac69backed megoshort29c95.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.654235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked MINLATE55c94.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5354348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked megoshort54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016146%74 W · 87 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed MINLATE63c84.39$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.512,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59f…b2cfbacked megoshort29c84.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed megoshort32c81.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.142,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd4bc…6c1bbacked MINLATE64c74.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.756168.9%42 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed megoshort49c74.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4314953.7%80 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed MINLATE51c72.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3143455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed megoshort33c68.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.311842.4%50 W · 68 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked megoshort43c63.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.74748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed MINLATE52c58.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0787244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdde…af48backed MINLATE57c56.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3813964%89 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c4c…066ebacked MINLATE79c51.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.98862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d9b…c04fbacked MINLATE80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked megoshort43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.538753.2%206 W · 181 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed megoshort22c49.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9580744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed megoshort32c49.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7995849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed megoshort38c48.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3626958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked MINLATE77c48.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.191,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked MINLATE63c47.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9812469.4%86 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked MINLATE71c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.051,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490a…3b39backed megoshort45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2457…da93backed megoshort23c44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed MINLATE58c43.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2215358.2%89 W · 64 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked MINLATE70c42.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.845962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x440d…351fbacked MINLATE78c38.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x994a…8f07backed megoshort43c36.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-73.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab19…3b87backed MINLATE75c35.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f2…f490backed MINLATE57c35.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.182669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.