South American Leagues · resolved market
São Paulo FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f172ad3c49d0e3013417e6b110cb81b3f9ce9220231fe070882a0f58a42cd50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,704 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 4,154$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 25c | 2,239$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.65 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 56c | 1,528$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.89 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 24c | 1,232$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 739.22$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818c…b0adbacked Over | 45c | 503.69$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2159…707ebacked Under | 48c | 491$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…5234backed Under | 48c | 491$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…848ebacked Over | 52c | 472.69$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b3…b83ebacked Over | 52c | 471.48$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d7…b03abacked Under | 48c | 460$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa799…df96backed Over | 52c | 459.31$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 456$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.11 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 443.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x503e…465cbacked Under | 48c | 441$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6e…d908backed Over | 52c | 430.32$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…fc49backed Over | 52c | 422.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff1…105ebacked Over | 52c | 410.68$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…e0d1backed Under | 48c | 397$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…a6f1backed Under | 48c | 381$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5356…e1e4backed Under | 48c | 369$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 367.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…07eabacked Under | 48c | 361$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0725…4c4bbacked Over | 52c | 359.36$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91d…585dbacked Over | 52c | 346.52$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…83f7backed Over | 52c | 343.64$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b3…3811backed Over | 52c | 335.37$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…ec07backed Under | 48c | 334$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…f2ccbacked Under | 48c | 327$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 38c | 276.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 265.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 66c | 246.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 46c | 240.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…7432backed Over | 57c | 168.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 54c | 150.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 41c | 148.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 15c | 135$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +247.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 48c | 118.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 49c | 118.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Over | 50c | 100.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 19c | 92.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 50c | 86.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over | 74c | 67.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 60c | 65.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 29c | 63.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 51c | 60.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Under | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 45c | 59.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Under | 66c | 58.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 49c | 43.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Over | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 46c | 40.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 47c | 38.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 56c | 35.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Under | 51c | 34.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Under | 47c | 34.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Under | 49c | 32.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 76c | 28.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…05ddbacked Under | 43c | 27.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…95d1backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 42c | 25.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…4d4abacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…356dbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 68c | 24.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Under | 51c | 23.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 76c | 22.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Over | 61c | 21.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…c12abacked Over | 57c | 18.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 58c | 17.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Over | 59c | 17.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- São Paulo FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- São Paulo FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- São Paulo FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 3.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.