South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf66f85602d7f9114f9b6b26ec669a0d524ff852273ca3c279d5e0e96f319200b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 30c | 12,154$3,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,508 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 12,070$6,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,974.4 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,839$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 1,071$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.85 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 30c | 1,033$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.17 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 483.86$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.9 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 422.55$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.56 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 403.2$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 395.9$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.17 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 68c | 391$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.88 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 35c | 224.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 33c | 175.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 162.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 148.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes | 31c | 96.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 18c | 95.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Yes | 51c | 89.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 69c | 89.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked No | 66c | 69.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 28c | 64.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 37c | 60.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 57.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 30c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 47c | 53.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 44c | 45.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 43.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…258ebacked Yes | 44c | 35.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…e451backed No | 71c | 35.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked No | 71c | 35.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…4d4abacked Yes | 65c | 30.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 79c | 26.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…7fdbbacked Yes | 54c | 25.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +380.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 65c | 25.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 66c | 24.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Yes | 56c | 22.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…7e67backed Yes | 52c | 19.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 18.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 69c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-11?No won
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.