South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x221d6d4b4a156f6ea7661baa2258ab8175a7ecc9c3cab00c859cf7c25b99a8a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,630 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 3,968$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.6 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 1,085$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 705.25$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.05 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 23c | 677.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 43c | 560.72$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.72 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 78c | 449$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.78 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 422.53$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 7c | 379.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 4c | 333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 297.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…1ac1backed Yes | 24c | 296.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…4fc7backed No | 76c | 296.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…63ebbacked Yes | 24c | 296.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…1cffbacked No | 76c | 296.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5170…b032backed Yes | 22c | 288.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…96b7backed No | 78c | 288.46$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 12c | 251.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 213.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 38c | 179$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 7c | 167$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 104.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 78c | 97.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes | 20c | 96.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 84.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 27c | 45.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 27c | 45.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked No | 76c | 32.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-11?this page
- Will CA Tucumán vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.