TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,293 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed No52c31,967$16,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,346.2418352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ee…0bd0backed No55c25,000$13,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,295.063354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes46c15,744$7,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,253.213,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c9,247$3,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,580.611,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57c…044abacked Yes0c8,061$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-74%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes48c6,346$3,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,046.258153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes22c6,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30016543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf455…27c8backed Yes48c3,850$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Yes45c3,219$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.64850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes46c2,218$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.312,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes17c2,136$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.1121132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No71c1,956$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.941,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes47c1,622$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.7423354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46012750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes45c950.79$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.765,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes28c790.51$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.565125.5%13 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes44c778.99$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.0314824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes25c754.33$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18611618.1%21 W · 95 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes38c680.16$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.891,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes26c490$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5217542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No66c437.2$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No41c366$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6531349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes24c337.33$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.961233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes47c324.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.781,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c311.45$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.621,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No60c285.67$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.941,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c284.36$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.538,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes50c249.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.721,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No44c236.51$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.677951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Yes46c213.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.291258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Yes26c209.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.810442.3%44 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes44c200.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6511262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes36c199.78$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9210667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes27c189.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.554139%16 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.83141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes41c169.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.75935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes40c167.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.443,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727554.7%41 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes46c146.7$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.611,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes48c139.83$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1223551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes43c134.01$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4328443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes46c132.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.220953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Yes60c123.15$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.351330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes50c114$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes40c99.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.947973.4%58 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes47c83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.772,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes21c81.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9471619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Yes48c81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.883138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410160.4%61 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Yes79c75.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604854.2%26 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes42c71.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.981,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes32c71.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes33c69.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.963915.4%6 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes39c69.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.29344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes66c64.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.363154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3047…f1edbacked Yes31c63.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Yes23c63.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.788655.8%48 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes34c60.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.624944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3067548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013814.5%20 W · 118 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x758e…ad1cbacked Yes45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4547…ac9bbacked Yes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.517950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974e…8703backed Yes60c48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.742740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Yes48c41.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.074755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes36c41.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.028648.8%42 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked No61c40.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.672737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Yes40c38.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes42c38.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164250%21 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes43c37.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.349535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2927…05fcbacked Yes46c32.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dee…efa6backed Yes46c30.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18b6…988dbacked Yes35c28.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104075%30 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8213…48a3backed Yes46c28.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No51c26.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2221266.5%141 W · 71 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Yes48c26.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.769759.8%58 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3a4…9bbebacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+24.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Yes48c23.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1579backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-63%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab72…d9b3backed Yes62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes66c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9184943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed No77c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.142365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes72c17.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.391330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.