Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddb4375e9e47d850ca1e2edbfb29e815a2682fb60e50428249177438412106c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,902 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 48c | 30,211$14,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,460.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 12,357$6,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,062.86 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 47c | 10,886$5,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,107.46 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Yes | 53c | 10,425$5,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.98 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.99 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 47c | 9,300$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370.94 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 47c | 7,022$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 47c | 6,813$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.13 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 53c | 4,772$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 54c | 4,312$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 53c | 3,966$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.25 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 51c | 3,654$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.41 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 52c | 3,300$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.59 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…1f2ebacked No | 47c | 3,255$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 3,098$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.56 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 3,081$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.28 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,941$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 48c | 2,692$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.72 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes | 52c | 2,083$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.44 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 37c | 1,675$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.03 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 53c | 1,557$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Yes | 53c | 1,529$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 53c | 1,330$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.42 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 36c | 1,321$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.08 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 30c | 1,129$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.89 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 54c | 1,070$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 1,062$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.41 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 943.85$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.54 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…f117backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +86%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 19c | 760.23$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…7547backed Yes | 52c | 577.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 53c | 540.19$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 37c | 521.7$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.67 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 41c | 483.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 37c | 435.66$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 32c | 435$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.3 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes | 53c | 426$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed No | 53c | 392.69$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.38 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 372$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 48c | 371.43$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.32 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 48c | 345.94$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 17c | 325$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 11c | 303.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 16c | 289.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 35c | 286$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 47c | 261.85$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 45c | 258.96$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 53c | 235.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Yes | 37c | 202$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 51c | 195.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…3e11backed Yes | 47c | 168$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 54c | 167.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be8…82f6backed Yes | 47c | 167$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 48c | 162.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4751…080fbacked Yes | 46c | 162$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 52c | 161.69$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 27c | 154.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…7e07backed No | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Yes | 51c | 138.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Yes | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 47c | 135.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…6362backed Yes | 47c | 133$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed Yes | 51c | 132.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 52c | 121.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 51c | 118.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…ffcebacked Yes | 51c | 116.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 53c | 113.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…6f0bbacked No | 48c | 112.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…f012backed Yes | 55c | 109.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Yes | 46c | 108.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Yes | 47c | 106.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…33a9backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…6072backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.