TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubrovnik: Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Andrea Lazaro Garciaof Amarissa Kiara Toth, Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,053 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Amarissa Kiara Toth35c3,796$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.037,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia79c3,686$2,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.3111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth19c2,736$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.467,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Amarissa Kiara Toth11c2,285$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.292,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia77c1,436$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.442,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Amarissa Kiara Toth39c1,189$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.89,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth31c1,085$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.092,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Amarissa Kiara Toth40c999.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.971,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia60c853.85$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.546,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth27c561.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014752.4%77 W · 70 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Amarissa Kiara Toth19c551.95$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.872846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Amarissa Kiara Toth8c494.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4961924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia68c482.01$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6328552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Amarissa Kiara Toth55c472.42$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.5119241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia72c416.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.772,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia60c383.33$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3318957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth38c363.42$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9513748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Amarissa Kiara Toth27c352.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.36443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Amarissa Kiara Toth25c321.6$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.341,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth36c299.58$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.851,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth16c270.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia79c268.6$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.115954.1%86 W · 73 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Amarissa Kiara Toth16c254.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.96,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Amarissa Kiara Toth45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth20c218.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8526451.5%136 W · 128 L+18.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Amarissa Kiara Toth14c210.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3160141.1%247 W · 354 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia45c208.33$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.582,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe64d…5e09backed Amarissa Kiara Toth5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105414.8%8 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Amarissa Kiara Toth18c193.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.823,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia57c171.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.597,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Amarissa Kiara Toth20c170.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0627539.6%109 W · 166 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia62c161.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3457349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia62c161$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1838268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…80a7backed Amarissa Kiara Toth32c143.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.98812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-82%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017051.8%88 W · 82 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth8c138$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.021,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Amarissa Kiara Toth33c129.49$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2622033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth39c123.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1246932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Amarissa Kiara Toth21c118.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2559440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed Amarissa Kiara Toth34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407047.1%33 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia75c117.6$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4871165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d8…06eabacked Amarissa Kiara Toth11c113.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-60.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Amarissa Kiara Toth41c109.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.691,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia68c107.63$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.934,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3841272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Amarissa Kiara Toth39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth29c95.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7723248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia78c90.89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.076,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3315751%80 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4a…249cbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia45c78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.977047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth38c61.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.332,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…e4d9backed Amarissa Kiara Toth35c57.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia45c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.822847.4%108 W · 120 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia45c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.829244.5%130 W · 162 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia45c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.827246.3%126 W · 146 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa633…1cf7backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia60c51.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.672962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Amarissa Kiara Toth37c51.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2110152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde89…bc4bbacked Amarissa Kiara Toth27c51.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-58%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3933163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafdb…c380backed Amarissa Kiara Toth41c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia63c40.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.892,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Amarissa Kiara Toth38c39.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.941,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6343…58a3backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia60c38.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia60c37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.88650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…641bbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333265.6%21 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed Amarissa Kiara Toth35c28.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.086939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b0b…94d1backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia76c27.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.577152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia60c26.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3155660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…93b1backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia73c23.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.184940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c99…78fbbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia75c22.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48c3…0701backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia79c20.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.14825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae2…eab2backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa1…3fd8backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia60c16.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.673161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia67c16.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4211352.2%59 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb567…4d4abacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia77c15.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.533740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.