Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6506c172c15e96e2f4dff317c6699f5630abcb9c07b82ffcbc8a9f925bc7e85f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked No | 47c | 2,129$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 32c | 942.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 871.98$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.92 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 53c | 500$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.25 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 441.06$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 35c | 395.17$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 359.7$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 53c | 175$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 60c | 144.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 53c | 131$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 53c | 119.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 109$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 66c | 87.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 62c | 82.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 66c | 81.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 54c | 54.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Yes | 57c | 41.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked No | 63c | 23.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.