Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6946d28b8ea5afec36615b308629c4b04a8b94413a6101a135aef9713925b00c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 48c | 6,933$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.69 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 52c | 6,933$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,327.72 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 2,342$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 67c | 1,500$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.09 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Over | 50c | 1,296$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 29c | 944.49$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 51c | 592.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 26c | 497.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 12c | 492.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 53c | 481.14$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.31 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 50c | 472$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 354$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 48c | 346$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.92 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 51c | 314.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 294.26$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 210.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 69c | 207.49$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 195.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 52c | 186$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 33c | 162.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 139.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 63c | 135.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 68c | 134.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 134.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 67c | 104.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 51c | 89.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 42c | 86.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 78.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Under | 37c | 77.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 51c | 77.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 75.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 74c | 73.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 72c | 61.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 51c | 58.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 62c | 42.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 61c | 42.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…4b1cbacked Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 49c | 36.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 48c | 27.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…a891backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd7…3cf4backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…b08bbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…1776backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…7ea4backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…6efabacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8c…370bbacked Over | 48c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…919bbacked Over | 49c | 24.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…7b27backed Under | 51c | 24.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97db…bccabacked Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…c3ccbacked Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…0cb2backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…d7d9backed Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b23…3f77backed Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8e…d0c3backed Over | 48c | 22.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41a…fe8dbacked Over | 48c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4508…5ad0backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.