Asian League · resolved market
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7b006a9867de7e61ee94e690f0ef22003ab402636913519d48445958560a4aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 2,076$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.23 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Under | 53c | 1,969$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 245 | 23.3%57 W · 188 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,218$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.03 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 50c | 653.9$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.95 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 314$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…5a4fbacked Over | 50c | 299.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 62c | 269.32$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…4095backed Over | 51c | 199.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 51c | 195.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 119$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 47c | 109.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 103.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 85.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 50c | 66.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 50c | 66.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 49c | 65.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 41c | 51.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 59c | 48.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 50c | 39.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 51c | 33.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Under | 52c | 29.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 51c | 26.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 25.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 49c | 21.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 49c | 21.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 53c | 20.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.