Asian League · resolved market
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x163fe5ef327c2fe3d07005ec495ac26a35783dddf237e96ab1ff85c82f8e5d5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,056$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 59c | 847$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 53c | 375.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 317.59$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed No | 52c | 206.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…4095backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 53c | 108$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 47c | 108$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35eb…3d7fbacked Yes | 51c | 74.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 41c | 40.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 33.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 48c | 32.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfc…ecb8backed No | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc25b…c821backed Yes | 53c | 24.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7847…10e9backed Yes | 53c | 23.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…db8abacked No | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…02fbbacked Yes | 53c | 21.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…0320backed Yes | 54c | 20.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.