Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07cee94b190b4ee1475ddb2fc5c4ce6aa6c33a5d5537ead40aa4f4539d566a38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,515 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 4,453$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.41 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 33c | 4,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Under | 62c | 807.58$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 542.03$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 34c | 495.17$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.11 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1239…f041backed Under | 38c | 467$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…8bacbacked Under | 38c | 457$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…d276backed Over | 68c | 288$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…a3fdbacked Over | 68c | 266$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b08dbacked Over | 68c | 264$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaf…3ec2backed Over | 62c | 261$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…67dcbacked Over | 62c | 245$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…704cbacked Over | 68c | 238$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba92…ed96backed Over | 68c | 236$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304e…9d5bbacked Over | 62c | 235$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…656cbacked Over | 68c | 220$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…5eadbacked Over | 65c | 209.94$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 70c | 208.19$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…a2f3backed Under | 32c | 202$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +132%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 195$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d1…fe7ebacked Under | 32c | 187$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…52d0backed Under | 32c | 186$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb06…dbeebacked Under | 32c | 184$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc973…5d9dbacked Over | 62c | 183$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…cf66backed Under | 32c | 174$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…ad44backed Under | 32c | 163$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 49c | 159.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a04…d1c7backed Under | 32c | 159$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Over | 64c | 155.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…a593backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…e1b5backed Under | 32c | 147$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 37c | 133$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…5baabacked Over | 46c | 129$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 39c | 126.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Over | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…c4c2backed Under | 32c | 103$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 52c | 94.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Over | 52c | 44.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 36c | 43.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 36c | 41.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Under | 68c | 20.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +441.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.