Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d8611a802cddb51080268c56aa37e0f760984611d6b4d8d5d1a24b7c4df4053
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,439 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 2,842$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.17 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 24c | 1,268$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.52 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…7c47backed Over | 40c | 493$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…4a21backed Over | 40c | 361$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 47c | 354.28$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ac…a0e5backed Over | 40c | 331$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…656cbacked Under | 60c | 325$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…a340backed Over | 40c | 316$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…4cd4backed Over | 40c | 309$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac6…2c6fbacked Under | 60c | 308$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…37debacked Under | 60c | 305$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Over | 41c | 287.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…f1b5backed Over | 40c | 271$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c5…0ee4backed Under | 60c | 266$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…e4eebacked Over | 40c | 265$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e12…061bbacked Under | 60c | 237$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 43c | 233.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…2822backed Under | 60c | 233$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…d6a1backed Over | 40c | 231$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…7dd1backed Over | 40c | 224$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba92…ed96backed Under | 60c | 223$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…ad44backed Under | 60c | 218$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…5493backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65b…b7dcbacked Under | 60c | 198$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed Under | 60c | 183.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed Under | 60c | 180.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 152.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa871…bb73backed Under | 60c | 147$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…8abfbacked Under | 60c | 141$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 12c | 139.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 75c | 133.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 103.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 26c | 99.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…8e82backed Over | 40c | 96.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…a734backed Over | 40c | 87.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 37c | 77.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Under | 59c | 76.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Under | 59c | 75.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…a251backed Under | 59c | 72.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +67%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…cf21backed Under | 59c | 70.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…9dd9backed Under | 65c | 69.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…e998backed Under | 59c | 68.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 46c | 65.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 37c | 62.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked Over | 40c | 46.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Over | 40c | 46.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Over | 40c | 44.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Over | 40c | 43.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.