Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe275da0a287c195c44903ccbbeff2395d7479d7094fced6d8dfbbedc5c73515f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Under | 49c | 4,798$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 51c | 3,520$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.17 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,697$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 2,432$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…aad0backed Over | 40c | 1,383$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 41c | 608.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9579…44d4backed Over | 73c | 548.05$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 32c | 408.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.67 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 44c | 300$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 212.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 25c | 175.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 49c | 160.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 159.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 145.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 49c | 144.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 46c | 138.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 49c | 117.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 49c | 117.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 46c | 114.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 50c | 98.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 93.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 39c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…e981backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 27c | 59.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 73c | 50.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under | 49c | 41.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 64c | 34.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 34c | 32.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…d2c8backed Under | 69c | 30.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 56c | 24.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 56c | 24.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 56c | 24.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed Over | 75c | 19.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 76c | 15.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5this page
- Canada vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Canada vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canada vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.