Asian League · resolved market
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf601750179dc10fcb9f503a2438a9c5338a2372e4a976b5e0ce5bc2b9870b9e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,261 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 8,889$6,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.97 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Yes | 35c | 5,795$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 2,647$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.68 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,007$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.83 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4434…54b8backed Yes | 24c | 649.88$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…862ebacked No | 75c | 353.88$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.42per pick | 16cpaid | +242.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…618abacked No | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 16cpaid | +275%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1409…ffb3backed No | 77c | 296.3$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed No | 16c | 281.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +293.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 22c | 250.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…cc82backed Yes | 26c | 192.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…25cabacked No | 74c | 192.83$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 22c | 190.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…1c57backed Yes | 25c | 147.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…78e9backed No | 75c | 147.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 13c | 115$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 21c | 103.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 93.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 19c | 71.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 50.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…83d5backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.