TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,526 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0b22…ddcabacked Under38c11,486$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,364.551346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over62c3,500$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3303030%9 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c2,855$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.785,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over62c2,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9504946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over62c2,291$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.5822555.1%124 W · 101 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over51c1,720$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.533933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Under38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57024323%56 W · 187 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over62c1,145$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.971,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over27c999.93$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.9211931.9%38 W · 81 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3bc…03efbacked Over66c952.45$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.291145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick28cpaid-3.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-50.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1525345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e27…76ebbacked Under33c339$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a5…7d8dbacked Under33c334$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Under76c333.22$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.252231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79af…8d36backed Under33c312$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62bf…c4b5backed Under33c308$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9529…923cbacked Over67c279$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1028…9e14backed Under33c276$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e48…cbd8backed Over67c276$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce10…bb32backed Over67c262$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d89…cb0cbacked Over67c253$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff0…d4e9backed Over67c251$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c250.55$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.712,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…7bfebacked Over67c247$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a0…12c0backed Under33c236$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over62c225$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.55651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac3…bf8fbacked Over67c222$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over45c221$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.083537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x564b…88f7backed Over67c216$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x426f…2499backed Under33c201$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under36c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707132.4%23 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e04…7cbdbacked Under33c194$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…a09abacked Over67c194$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Over62c154.03$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.531353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5712147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5710650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over61c144.01$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1940448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over60c126.14$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.467245.8%33 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over62c125$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.54744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under75c121.33$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912673.1%19 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over62c115$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.79744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6229745.1%134 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3814349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.27548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.28747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over62c75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.510945.9%50 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0727338.8%106 W · 167 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over28c63.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.29525.3%24 W · 71 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over45c63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.86246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.87456.8%42 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.811238.4%43 W · 69 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.87352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.87153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.86349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.85750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.86653%35 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.87458.1%43 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.87250%36 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.87553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under62c56.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b3…688abacked Over61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under37c39.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.811,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ad…9d51backed Over47c38.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…cb59backed Over29c37.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+99%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over60c34.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.924759.6%28 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over60c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.215549%76 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under41c31.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8419436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over64c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.164746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.44358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.44751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Over65c29.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.381361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.56152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.53554.3%19 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.54755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.53956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Over62c19.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.393063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over58c18.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6447155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Under71c16.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.