Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03759eda9e4afd99f6ee06d637e5363815ffe9a6ee390b612d57ac13bca7092d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,981 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed Over | 40c | 12,178$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,311.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 7,271$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,657 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 60c | 2,345$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.22 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 60c | 1,517$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.3 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 24c | 839.51$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.18 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 42c | 473.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.3 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…0d09backed Under | 56c | 333$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f65…3924backed Under | 56c | 332$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Under | 60c | 278.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b05…3d22backed Under | 56c | 275$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…dc8ebacked Under | 56c | 257$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…1ed5backed Under | 56c | 255$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72dc…c790backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…e0c3backed Under | 56c | 237$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 58c | 235.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…daa5backed Over | 44c | 231$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…86c7backed Under | 56c | 219$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…8d48backed Over | 44c | 207$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…3855backed Over | 44c | 206$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb971…57d4backed Over | 44c | 206$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…0aa0backed Over | 44c | 194$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 60c | 190.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe150…6874backed Over | 44c | 169$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +192.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 59c | 150$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…04a3backed Over | 44c | 148$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…84c3backed Over | 44c | 145$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…922fbacked Over | 44c | 145$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 38c | 130.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 63c | 108.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 60c | 92.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 61c | 75.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1c…0e2cbacked Under | 60c | 64.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 58c | 54.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 60c | 49.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Under | 60c | 44.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 40c | 39.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 60c | 33.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 58c | 32.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…985ebacked Under | 63c | 25.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 24.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Under | 61c | 18.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 60c | 18.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd531…dfabbacked Under | 60c | 17.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 65c | 17.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.