Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f4bdd998d1a1506efac43a9782ea0dadf55767451829d5398d056830271557a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Haigang FCof Shanghai Haigang FC, Qingdao Xihaian FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,028 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 47c | 4,676$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.4 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 53c | 1,906$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.95 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 58c | 1,720$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.6 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 54c | 919.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 54c | 626.79$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.17 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 43c | 513.52$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.67 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 49c | 409.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613e…c5f8backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 60c | 306$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4928…1310backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…f2b6backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 60c | 278$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…bc51backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 40c | 253$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…834abacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 40c | 237$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…f7e2backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 60c | 231$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…bde5backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 60c | 231$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…ed1bbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 60c | 216$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 46c | 215.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…1db2backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 40c | 207$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…caeabacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 60c | 181$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 55c | 180.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…ccb3backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 40c | 168$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…144cbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 40c | 160$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…1e7abacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 40c | 152$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c8…315abacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 40c | 151$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…e82dbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 40c | 141$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35df…87b2backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 40c | 135$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…54e9backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 40c | 134$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 45c | 111.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 61c | 64.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 53c | 62.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 39c | 50.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 45c | 44.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…c647backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 43c | 27.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 45c | 26.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 54c | 20.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 55c | 19.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 57c | 18.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.