Ligue 1 · resolved market
Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0672f95cf5631ed6bb38de3c22bb19cfa1a5de00506154a246ca8cee9a0b7149
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 38c | 6,544$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.62 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 5,360$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.11 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 4,157$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.26 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 52c | 2,831$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Under | 48c | 2,570$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 15c | 2,129$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.78 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Under | 48c | 2,021$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 1,565$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.25 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 995.65$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.05 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 47c | 838.26$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 750.12$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.94 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 737.76$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.42 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 710.94$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.13 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 24c | 710.06$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 54c | 411$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.06 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…5a4fbacked Over | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 48c | 262.38$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 51c | 248.47$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 40c | 230.05$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 47c | 226.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…4095backed Over | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 44c | 199.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 52c | 179.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed Under | 48c | 173.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 52c | 171.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 56c | 162.79$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 66c | 157.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 54c | 149.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 53c | 146.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 46c | 141.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 119.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked Over | 38c | 103.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 52c | 101.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…4ea7backed Under | 48c | 98.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 27c | 95.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fa…b168backed Over | 43c | 88.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 84.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Under | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 53c | 71.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 49c | 69.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 53c | 68.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Over | 53c | 68.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 51c | 67.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 53c | 62.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 62.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 62.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 53c | 62.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 53c | 62.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 53c | 62.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 53c | 60.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 53c | 60.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 53c | 60.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9757…9191backed Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Over | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 53c | 54.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 51.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 56c | 48.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 46.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 37c | 46.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Under | 62c | 46.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…4b21backed Over | 54c | 44.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b3cbacked Over | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 47c | 34.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 51c | 33.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 54c | 23.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5this page
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Angers SCO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.