Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb191d7379559c79d6b03f74fbec2f1ff5e8219d028975a45cedc3a11de5b43a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angers SCOof Olympique Lyonnais, Angers SCO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 34,826$11,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,818.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympique Lyonnais | 24c | 8,743$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.38 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Angers SCO | 66c | 7,750$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.95 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Olympique Lyonnais | 24c | 4,656$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.82 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Angers SCO | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Angers SCO | 66c | 1,114$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.76 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Olympique Lyonnais | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angers SCO | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 7c | 700.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Olympique Lyonnais | 30c | 634.65$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Angers SCO | 67c | 599.56$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.85 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Angers SCO | 66c | 420$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Angers SCO | 66c | 420$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Olympique Lyonnais | 17c | 416.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 19c | 400.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 22c | 380.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Angers SCO | 66c | 371.06$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Angers SCO | 66c | 370$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Angers SCO | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed Angers SCO | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed Angers SCO | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Olympique Lyonnais | 22c | 278.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Angers SCO | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Angers SCO | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Angers SCO | 66c | 248.89$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed Angers SCO | 65c | 222.86$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Angers SCO | 66c | 205.39$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed Angers SCO | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed Angers SCO | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 193.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3670…963ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 190.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Angers SCO | 66c | 172.48$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 159.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Angers SCO | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Angers SCO | 66c | 138.45$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Angers SCO | 67c | 134.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 127.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Angers SCO | 65c | 124.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 123.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Angers SCO | 66c | 120.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Angers SCO | 66c | 112.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 109.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Olympique Lyonnais | 25c | 103.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Angers SCO | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Olympique Lyonnais | 32c | 99.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Angers SCO | 69c | 89.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 32c | 75.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Angers SCO | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Angers SCO | 65c | 69.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 36c | 64.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Angers SCO | 66c | 59.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…a4b4backed Angers SCO | 69c | 56.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Angers SCO | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Angers SCO | 66c | 49.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Angers SCO | 64c | 49.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Angers SCO | 68c | 49.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 27c | 38.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 38.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Angers SCO | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 34.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Angers SCO | 66c | 28.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Angers SCO | 71c | 24.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Angers SCO | 66c | 24.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…4db7backed Angers SCO | 68c | 22.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Angers SCO | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Angers SCO | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Angers SCO | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Angers SCO | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)this page
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.