Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dd3d3a265c90ffd2c00e8df7ce3b28810d644ad4df4e36167465ad54f459015
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked No | 41c | 1,222$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 61c | 1,125$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.55 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 31c | 999.86$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.96 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…4095backed Yes | 63c | 900$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…5a4fbacked No | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 35c | 741.07$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.82 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 716.08$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.92 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 40c | 403.33$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.22 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 47c | 399.96$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 364.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 357.61$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cc…4817backed No | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 47c | 219.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 187$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 156$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 67c | 148.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…a69bbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…3b18backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 61c | 81.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 56c | 63.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 62c | 52.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 65c | 45.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 65c | 45.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 65c | 45.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 66c | 44.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 66c | 44.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed No | 66c | 44.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed No | 66c | 44.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 66c | 44.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 66c | 44.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 60c | 41.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 73c | 36.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 32.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked No | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 60c | 27.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa031…ef85backed Yes | 62c | 22.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 59c | 20.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 65c | 18.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)Wellington Phoenix FC won
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-1.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-2.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.