Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b090da543d452c8a23765302789bbc1076e50347c9e3870a5911e6123435d6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,054 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Under	32c	8,029$2,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,453.14	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	49c	3,062$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,561.74	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	57c	2,872$1,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,624.84	988	44.4%439 W · 549 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Over	43c	1,294$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.62	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Over	50c	1,201$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over	27c	925.24$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.82	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-5.5wins	-0.22per pick	34cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	70c	714.29$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over	70c	714.29$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under	44c	711.53$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.72	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over	55c	700$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under	73c	684.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.93	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	44c	621.27$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.73	130	49.2%64 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	50c	601.52$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.52	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	23c	554.82$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.49	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over	59c	501$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.95	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over	62c	500$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	32c	499.96$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.98	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over	50c	402.24$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	57c	373.95$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.13	478	50.8%243 W · 235 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under	40c	319$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.4	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over	68c	257.62$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.18	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under	78c	251.78$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.28	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over	67c	203.7$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.98	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over	67c	203.7$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.98	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over	67c	202.5$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.61	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over	43c	200.97$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.48	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cee…5a4fbacked Over	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over	67c	190.17$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.29	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Under	41c	182$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.55	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	30c	167.81$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.14	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	64c	164.99$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.74	286	59.4%170 W · 116 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over	43c	162.22$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	70c	150$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	73	65.8%48 W · 25 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	42c	149.99$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over	68c	132.35$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	103	57.3%59 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over	67c	109.95$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.3	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	67c	108.75$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.86	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over	67c	108.75$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.86	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over	67c	108.75$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.86	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Over	67c	108.75$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.86	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over	67c	108.75$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.86	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over	67c	108.75$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.86	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over	67c	108.75$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.86	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over	65c	107.5$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb231…0363backed Over	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…8eadbacked Over	67c	99.99$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	67c	96.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over	67c	96.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	67c	96.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over	67c	96.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over	67c	96.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over	67c	96.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Over	67c	96.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Over	67c	96.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	60cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	67c	96.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	67c	96.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over	67c	96.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over	67c	96.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over	67c	96.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over	67c	96.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	70c	90$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	108	39.8%43 W · 65 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bbf…8d1ebacked Over	70c	86.97$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.88	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	46c	82.85$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.79	247	32.4%80 W · 167 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	31c	82.28$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.43	324	53.1%172 W · 152 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over	28c	78.57$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.19per pick	30cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over	67c	77.22$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.74	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Over	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked Over	68c	73.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc779…c8a4backed Over	48c	70.23$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Over	68c	66.18$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under	37c	66$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.58	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	36c	63.77$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.81	149	55.7%83 W · 66 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over	50c	59$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.36	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over	69c	56.74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.06	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17a1…8501backed Over	68c	53.4$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	69c	44$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.64	198	49%97 W · 101 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over	67c	43.49$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.14	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	71c	42.25$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over	67c	41.79$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	62c	40.22$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over	66c	37.9$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-28%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Over	67c	37.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over	67c	37.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Over	67c	37.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	59cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	52c	35.98$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.24	349	37.8%132 W · 217 L	-13.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	32c	32.41$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.04	132	43.2%57 W · 75 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec5…5923backed Over	67c	30.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Over	67c	29.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Over	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over	69c	24.42$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.77	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over	63c	21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	305	36.1%110 W · 195 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over	67c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddb…8afcbacked Over	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over	68c	16.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	61cpaid	+170.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Over	67c	16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	28	78.6%22 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	68cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5this page
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)Wellington Phoenix FC won
Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-1.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-2.5)Melbourne Victory FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event