Fifa International · resolved market
Scott McTominay: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b5c4b86bfbbb6d608dd92e66021b41ded272bbcb9050f0d127d7435adc26b9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 61c | 1,500$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.48 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes | 37c | 672.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Yes | 42c | 592.01$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…27bfbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes | 40c | 206.2$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 60c | 199.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 57c | 186.54$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 67c | 164$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 43c | 151.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 60c | 137.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…a750backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 44c | 109.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…9082backed Yes | 38c | 105.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 104.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 88.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036b…ead4backed No | 55c | 76.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 58c | 63.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed No | 63c | 56.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a5…5b1bbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…eec3backed Yes | 38c | 52.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 62c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…e635backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 62c | 49.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…51d2backed Yes | 33c | 41.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 62c | 39.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…88c6backed Yes | 38c | 39.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 69c | 34.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 60c | 18.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scott McTominay: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ché Adams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Duckens Nazon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Findlay Curtis: 3+ goalsNo won
- Frantzdy Pierrot: 3+ goalsNo won
- John McGinn: 1+ goalsYes won
- John McGinn: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lawrence Shankland: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lyndon Dykes: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ross Stewart: 3+ goalsNo won
- Wilson Isidor: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.