Fifa International · resolved market
Lawrence Shankland: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9afcb09a87391075c5fe14fbb7a5ed688329fa38d77735cd8be667d4ed783b72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed No | 54c | 1,169$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.85 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,098$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 56c | 609.08$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc843…32b7backed Yes | 46c | 534.55$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Yes | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…a5c7backed No | 59c | 147.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 55c | 123.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…d117backed Yes | 45c | 119.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Yes | 45c | 111.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 44c | 90.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 39c | 63.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…f033backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158a…47a7backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…e9d9backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf289…b48bbacked Yes | 46c | 29.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…19fabacked Yes | 50c | 28.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x036b…ead4backed No | 50c | 28.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 56c | 18.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 60c | 17.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 16.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lawrence Shankland: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ché Adams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Duckens Nazon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Findlay Curtis: 3+ goalsNo won
- Frantzdy Pierrot: 3+ goalsNo won
- John McGinn: 1+ goalsYes won
- John McGinn: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lyndon Dykes: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ross Stewart: 3+ goalsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 1+ goalsNo won
- Wilson Isidor: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.