TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$279,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$344,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,418 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xab82…abe5backed Yes51c40,798$20,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,840.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c30,436$16,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,360.341,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes61c24,762$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,761.951747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No57c19,171$10,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,982.958155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No48c17,809$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,550.0846741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes61c16,393$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,393.442458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd97d…6bf4backed Yes48c15,581$7,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,050.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No45c10,937$4,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,868.9244647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No41c7,500$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.9510543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No40c6,269$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.5633844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No40c6,069$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.8743252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No40c5,130$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.3831847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No40c4,913$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.252532%8 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e47…5c64backed Yes60c4,482$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b8…3668backed Yes60c3,721$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.3450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes42c3,409$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.2260136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No59c3,280$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.782433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No40c2,812$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.826645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed No42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes59c2,447$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.631471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No40c2,400$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9607549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No50c2,344$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.8939743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No41c1,823$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.1860748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No39c1,763$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.891450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No54c1,579$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.8910743.9%47 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No41c1,493$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.253852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No40c1,419$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.7552046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c1,405$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.7459741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No54c1,374$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.8330856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No54c1,364$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.0217058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Yes59c1,358$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.941020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No55c1,346$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.5712551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes59c1,307$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.8688631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Yes42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.472128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes60c1,188$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.2327031.5%85 W · 185 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No54c1,086$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.6724252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd00c…8154backed Yes60c1,050$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No60c1,044$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.562941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No41c1,010$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.11154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No39c994.8$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.1232843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes46c933.2$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.5791537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No43c861.45$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.9272335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No40c798.96$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.5918250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No51c770.2$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.87345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No50c730.95$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.511,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No52c683.34$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.3215954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked No73c654$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.87728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick69cpaid-63.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No39c641$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9913936.7%51 W · 88 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7902…170cbacked Yes60c580$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No52c573.33$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.5437649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No40c557$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.384443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes49c520$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.28232.9%27 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Yes42c454.54$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.632055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+100.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No52c451$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.4714353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No52c404.48$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.16734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No40c389.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9913649.3%67 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95c1…94d7backed Yes61c372.41$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Yes59c346.26$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.972035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes59c332.17$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.191258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No21c330.71$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9644033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes44c321.34$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3716440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No14c320.59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0110051%51 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27f…a2d2backed Yes59c319.97$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c313.88$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.711,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No39c308.21$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.24854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed No54c301.68$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.564052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1178038.8%31 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83b…2d16backed No47c296.91$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked No54c291.77$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.353852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes59c279.01$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.391250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes31c275.8$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.32733.3%9 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes60c273.98$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.594156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.98750.6%44 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Yes61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes48c245.79$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.812035%7 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No39c242.96$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7514454.9%79 W · 65 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes52c240.91$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.746347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No50c240.33$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.336259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes47c229$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.648845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes42c229$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.872245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes59c224.77$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9463346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes41c219.16$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6912144.6%54 W · 67 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No41c210$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.12441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825856.9%33 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+73.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No51c194.11$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.563974.4%29 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes59c193.55$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.368237.8%31 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No59c191.55$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4510539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked No52c183.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.726357.1%36 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8228639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes60c175.92$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.181442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6711440.4%46 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb176…fcb2backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+63%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.