Champions League · resolved market
Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7ed09160c8ea9513ee532486919b4ca22e6b96dd78d056dd8ed526a25ef3aca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 54c | 7,717$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.41 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 27c | 5,875$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.24 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 52c | 3,999$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.12 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 26c | 3,857$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.88 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…6e9cbacked Yes | 25c | 3,395$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 3,234$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.12 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 3,209$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.52 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 3,005$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.53 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 2,997$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.21 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,042$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 989.6$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.86 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 887.56$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.74 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Yes | 63c | 792$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 69cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 74c | 678.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 558.67$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 552$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 35c | 473.54$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.11 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 73c | 390$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 359.79$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 49c | 310.84$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 49c | 299.7$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 42c | 292.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.87 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 49c | 274.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.07 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 50c | 224.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.68 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Yes | 44c | 222.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 49c | 175.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Yes | 76c | 170.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 50c | 149$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 56c | 140.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 51c | 128.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 74c | 123$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 44c | 110.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 41c | 108.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 66c | 98.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 56c | 91.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 54cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 43c | 86.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 73c | 63.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 74c | 62.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 76c | 54.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 43c | 52.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Yes | 50c | 51.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 47c | 50.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 49c | 46.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 42.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 41c | 41.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…eceebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 45c | 38.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…dbe4backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 62c | 26.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 56c | 25.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 56c | 23.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -14.3wins | -0.38per pick | 40cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Yes | 52c | 19.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 74c | 19.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…31eabacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 80c | 15.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 74c | 13.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?this page
- Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-04?Yes won
- Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.