Champions League · resolved market
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x092e695c3e99deb67758acf54580641be9548ad554dd7189a3a4466e7d68ee33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 16c | 63,537$10,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,145.18 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 12,293$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.07 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 7,843$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.58 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 11c | 5,946$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.66 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 15c | 5,878$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.63 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 19c | 3,229$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,331$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.15 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 11c | 1,136$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,044$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 15c | 960$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 11c | 646.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 13c | 464.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 11c | 458.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x704a…88d8backed Yes | 15c | 442$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 11c | 400.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 11c | 398.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 397.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 11c | 328.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 11c | 323.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 5c | 299.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 9c | 262.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 16c | 215.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 257 | 29.6%76 W · 181 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 173.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 121.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…1374backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 12c | 96.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 11c | 90.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…057fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-04?this page
- Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?No won
- Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.