Fifa International · resolved market
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dd8b10c6e215d658ef1da192043e06039251f1aa885493759eec3f04c4ae482
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 71c | 999.92$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 71c | 921.9$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.35 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 29c | 758.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 72c | 499.95$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 29c | 448.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 73c | 299.97$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 74c | 193.14$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5590…533bbacked Yes | 26c | 191.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 33.5%60 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 26c | 151.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 135.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes | 29c | 119.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…c98cbacked Yes | 29c | 111.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 28c | 94.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 28c | 78.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…2c34backed Yes | 27c | 73.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…8c74backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…0f92backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Yes | 28c | 52.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…5516backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 42.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 29c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assiststhis page
- Alexis Saelemaekers: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Saelemaekers: 3+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ assistsYes won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mostafa Zico: 3+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goalsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.