Fifa International · resolved market
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61edb5b9be000573a5dced5b74ca5e6e7607b923a2701e1c5f1e5401afce57c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Yes | 32c | 1,380$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 67c | 970.49$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.26 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 32c | 927.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Yes | 33c | 306.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…fc16backed Yes | 29c | 242.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 69c | 179.58$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed No | 66c | 155.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 32c | 144.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 66c | 135.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes | 32c | 125.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 120.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…1b20backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 33c | 96.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 77.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 69.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 36c | 55.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 52.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 166 | 29.5%49 W · 117 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…0589backed Yes | 32c | 46.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3276…666dbacked Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 68c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 68c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 68c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 74c | 22.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexis Saelemaekers: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Saelemaekers: 3+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ assistsYes won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mostafa Zico: 3+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goalsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.