F1 · resolved market
Will Ferrari finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5c1bbcb5f63e3b7d67191abf96fd09591dc590aec7b663604444e8fb7b89e20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd4c…dc84backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 35c | 380$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 7c | 205$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…fe8bbacked Yes | 33c | 202.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 44c | 130.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 34c | 115.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…a1e9backed Yes | 50c | 100.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +153.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac4…a8c9backed Yes | 48c | 97.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 18c | 93.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +167.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 53c | 90.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Yes | 16c | 86.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked Yes | 34c | 84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked No | 66c | 72.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…e87abacked Yes | 49c | 64.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…cf32backed Yes | 66c | 60.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 23c | 51.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 48c | 45.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…4befbacked Yes | 63c | 39.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x086b…b66ebacked Yes | 41c | 36.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…84edbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 33c | 33.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 70c | 33.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…6b8bbacked Yes | 59c | 32.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferrari finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?this page
- Will McLaren finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?No won
- Will Mercedes finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?No won
- Will Red Bull finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.