Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Furman Paladins vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98f29dedef98c48639bd8d760c3a01eed792fbbc9170e17b14a2dba02b8e2ab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Tennessee State Buccaneersof Furman Paladins, East Tennessee State Buccaneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Furman Paladins | 31c | 14,100$4,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,330 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 68c | 6,643$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 69c | 3,675$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.25 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 70c | 3,394$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.46 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Furman Paladins | 44c | 2,184$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.92 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 69c | 1,648$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.25 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 43c | 1,151$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 34c | 1,004$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.89 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Furman Paladins | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 27c | 876.71$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.11 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 34c | 768$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 71c | 753.88$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.61 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Furman Paladins | 65c | 565.23$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Furman Paladins | 62c | 542.66$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.14 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Furman Paladins | 49c | 510.97$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.88 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Furman Paladins | 58c | 476.95$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.12 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Furman Paladins | 30c | 430$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 70c | 410$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Furman Paladins | 51c | 374.89$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.95 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Furman Paladins | 59c | 372.89$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.83 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Furman Paladins | 53c | 243.89$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…eee8backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 41c | 241.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 58c | 212.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 50c | 205.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Furman Paladins | 6c | 185$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Furman Paladins | 30c | 143$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 50c | 128.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 46c | 126.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Furman Paladins | 57c | 112.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Furman Paladins | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked Furman Paladins | 47c | 88.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 50c | 78.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Furman Paladins | 31c | 75.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Furman Paladins | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Furman Paladins | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Furman Paladins | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 48c | 59.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 24c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Furman Paladins | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Furman Paladins | 59c | 46.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 70c | 46.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Furman Paladins | 32c | 43.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 36.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…1ccfbacked Furman Paladins | 48c | 33.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Furman Paladins | 67c | 26.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…4dc7backed Furman Paladins | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf5…fd4abacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 68c | 23.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…f69ebacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 47c | 22.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…a613backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 62c | 19.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…0733backed Furman Paladins | 65c | 18.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Furman Paladins | 78c | 17.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 69c | 16.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 72c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…eef8backed Furman Paladins | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.